N-600 Posts a Tentative 89-Day Median as RFE Cases Clear in Just 25 Days
A preliminary early read on the week of August 24 shows a +20-day jump that triggered a statistical anomaly flag, while a simultaneous signal shows RFE-response cases clearing more than three times faster than plain-processing cases.
This week's N-600 Certificate of Citizenship data carries an important caveat: only 137 cases have been logged, roughly half the typical weekly pace, making every number here an early signal subject to revision. With that hedge in place, the preliminary median final-stage wait sits at 89 days, up 20 days from last week's 69 and 53 days above the same week last year's 36-day reading. A statistical anomaly flag fired on the jump. At the same time, cases that received and responded to an RFE (Request for Evidence) cleared in just 25 days this week, well under the 79-day median for cases with no RFE, an inversion that deserves equal attention alongside the headline number.
- This week's preliminary median of 89 days is up 20 days week-over-week and 146% above the 36-day reading in the same week of 2025, though the 137-case sample is roughly half the 12-week average.
- A statistical outlier flag fired at z = 2.04 against the prior 4-week trailing window, but the 12-week pattern is classified as noisy and stable with an R² of just 0.22, meaning single-week readings carry limited signal.
- The rfe_fast anomaly also fired: cases that received a Request for Evidence cleared in a median of 25 days, compared with 79 days for cases without an RFE, a ratio of 3.2x.
- The overall active N-600 pending population stands at 98,514 cases as of August 31, up 1,510 cases (+1.6%) over the prior 28 days, consistent with new filings outpacing approvals.
- Cases filed in March 2026 are now 26 weeks old and only 5.3% approved (107 of 2,017 cases), reflecting N-600's historically long adjudication (case decision) timeline of 14 to 18 months.
An early read on a rough week
The week of August 24 is, for now, an early signal only. At 137 cases approved, this week's sample is roughly half the 12-week average of about 246 approvals per week, and USCIS data at this volume tends to shift materially as the full week fills in. With that caveat front and center: the preliminary median final-stage wait for N-600 this week is 89 days, up 20 days (+28.4%) from last week's 69. The outlier_week_high flag fired with a z-score of 2.04 against the prior 4-week trailing window, meaning this week's reading sits two standard deviations above the recent run. Against the same week last year, the gap is larger still: 36 days in 2025 versus a tentative 89 days now, a 146% year-over-year difference. If the sample fills in to full strength next week, the median could shift in either direction.
A volatile form in a volatile stretch
N-600 medians have moved across a wide range over the past 12 weeks, from a low of 33 days the week of June 29 to a high of 117 days the week of June 8. That 84-day spread is not unusual for this form at current sample volumes. The pattern is classified as noisy and stable: a slope of +2.7 days per week over the last 8 weeks suggests a mild upward drift, but the regression's R² of 0.22 means the week-to-week noise explains most of the variation, not any underlying directional trend. At a preliminary sample of 137 cases this week, the median can reflect who happened to be approved as much as any underlying movement in adjudication (USCIS's case decision step) pace.
Placed against the 12-week trailing average of 69 days, this week's 89 reads high but not without precedent: the same 12-week window already contains a 117-day week and an 88-day week. The 3-year same-week average of 36 days offers a longer perspective, though that baseline reflects a period when N-600 weekly sample counts averaged around 26 cases (as in the same week last year), a much thinner flow than current volumes. The two baselines are measuring meaningfully different caseload environments and should not be compared directly.
The RFE inversion worth watching
3.20x RFE response cases clear faster than the plain processing cohort.
The rfe_fast anomaly flag also fired this week, and the underlying numbers are the counterintuitive part of this issue. Cases that received and responded to a Request for Evidence posted a median final-stage wait of 25 days. Cases with no RFE in their history posted a median of 79 days, making the RFE-response group 3.2x faster. Normally the reverse holds: after a response is submitted, an adjudicator must review the materials, which adds time relative to cases that never required a follow-up. One reading consistent with the data is that a group of RFE responses from a concentrated filing period cleared rapidly together, producing an apparent batch effect. The data brief does not distinguish among mechanisms, and the pattern may revert as newer RFE responses age in the queue without the same timing coincidence.
Cases that received a Request for Evidence this week cleared in 25 days, less than a third of the 79-day wait for cases that never received one.
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