Approval Trends Brief
Issue 24Published Jun 8, 2026
Employment Petition · Week 24
I-140 · Employment-based petition

I-140 Final-Stage Wait Holds Steady at 22 Days for Third Consecutive Week

The median final-stage wait for I-140 immigrant worker petitions has stabilized at 22 days through June 8, well below the 12-week trailing average of 29 days and down from a spring high of 44 days in April.

I-140 final-stage wait times have settled into a stable pattern, holding at 22 days for the third consecutive week (W22 through W24), based on 2,080 cases approved the week of June 8. That figure sits 7 days below the 12-week trailing average of 29 days and 22 days below the April peak of 44 days. The 8-week slope of -1.8 days per week, while moderate in strength, confirms a sustained improving direction. No anomaly flags fired this week. For applicants tracking their cases, the data reflects a period of genuine stability in the final adjudication (case decision) step.

Key findings
  1. The I-140 final-stage wait has held at 22 days for three straight weeks (W22, W23, W24), down from a peak of 44 days in W15.
  2. The 8-week regression slope of -1.8 days per week confirms a moderate improving trend, though an R² of 0.45 means week-to-week noise remains visible.
  3. The April 2026 filing-month group reached 47.4% approved at age 11 weeks, while the January 2026 group sits at 51.0% approved after 24 weeks.
  4. RFE (Request for Evidence) cases cleared in a median of 35 days vs. 25 days for cases without an RFE, a 10-day gap.
  5. If the recent trend continues, the forecast band for the week of July 6 runs ~10 to 26 days, though the weak R² means that range carries real uncertainty.
01

Three weeks at 22 days, and holding

The median final-stage wait for I-140 petitions came in at 22 days for the week of June 8, matching the readings from the two prior weeks (W22 and W23) exactly. The three-week plateau marks a meaningful shift from a volatile spring: the median reached 44 days during the week of April 6, and the 12-week trailing average sits at 29 days. With 2,080 cases approved this week, the sample is large enough to treat the reading as representative rather than a thin-week artifact.

22days
Final-stage wait held at 22 days for the third week in a row, the lowest sustained reading in the 12-week window.12-week trailing average: 29 days. April peak: 44 days.
Figure 1
The 12-week trend shows a drop from a spring high of 44 days in early April to a three-week plateau at 22 days through June 8.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
200200150150100100505000DaysMar 23Mar 23Mar 30Mar 30Apr 6Apr 6Apr 13Apr 13Apr 20Apr 20Apr 27Apr 27May 4May 4May 11May 11May 18May 18May 25May 25Jun 1Jun 1Jun 8Jun 8Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W13 to 2026-W24. n = 2,080 (this week).

The metric tracked here is the final-stage wait: the time between a case's last recorded status update and its approval, not the full filing-to-approval span. The 8-week regression slope of -1.8 days per week points in an improving direction, though the R² of 0.45 is moderate, meaning week-to-week readings can scatter meaningfully around the trend line. The direction appears consistent with genuine improvement, but no single week's reading should be treated as a firm floor.

02

Where your filing month stands

The weekly median tells one part of the picture. The filing-month cohort (a group of cases) view, which tracks all cases filed in the same calendar month over time, adds context for applicants who want to gauge their own cohort's (filing-month group's) progress. The April 2026 cohort reached 47.4% approved at age 11 weeks, across 19,405 total cases in that group. The March 2026 cohort sits at 51.5% approved at age 15 weeks, across 17,050 cases. The oldest tracked cohort, January 2026 (14,134 cases filed that month), has reached 51.0% approved after 24 weeks, reflecting the long tail of cases still awaiting adjudication (the USCIS case decision step).

Figure 2
Each curve traces one filing-month group's cumulative approval share from filing through the current week, showing how quickly each cohort clears over time.
Cumulative pct_approved by age in weeks, by filing month cohort. Snapshot as of 2026-06-19.
100%100%80%80%60%60%40%40%20%20%0%0%% approvedw0w0w3w3w5w5w8w8w10w10w13w13w15w15Age in weeks
2026-03
2026-04
2026-05
2026-06
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Cohorts 2026-01 through 2026-06. n = total_cases per cohort.

The total active caseload across all tracked cohorts rose from roughly 26,800 to 44,643 cases over the 43-day window ending June 19, an increase of 66.2%. The May 2026 cohort accounts for the largest share of that growth, adding 10,556 active cases as new filings entered the queue. This may reflect a high volume of petitions filed in May rather than a processing slowdown; the weekly median has remained flat or improved over the same period. The data brief does not tell us the precise filing driver, so caution applies to any single-cause explanation.

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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-140 only