Approval Trends Brief
Issue 26Published Jun 22, 2026
Work Authorization · Week 26
I-765 · Work authorization

I-765 Final-Stage Wait Hits 140 Days as Active Backlog Nearly Doubles

The median final-stage wait for Employment Authorization Document approvals reached its highest point in the current 12-week window this week, while the active pending backlog expanded 94% in 61 days, adding more than 150,000 cases since early May.

The I-765 Employment Authorization Document application's final-stage wait reached 140 days this week, up 12 days from last week's 128 and 53 days above the 12-week trailing average of 87 days, the largest two-week swing in the 12-week window. Behind that reading: the active pending backlog has grown to 311,188 cases as of this snapshot, a gain of 150,873 cases (+94.1%) since May 7. IOE, the electronic-filing channel, handled 87% of this week's approvals and carries a slope of +8.9 days per week, making it the primary driver of the aggregate trend. The confluence of rising volume and rising medians appears consistent with a structural queue buildup rather than a single-week fluctuation.

Key findings
  1. The I-765 final-stage median reached 140 days this week, up 12 days (+9.1%) from last week and the highest reading in the 12-week window.
  2. The active pending backlog stands at 311,188 cases, up 150,873 (+94.1%) in 61 days, with the May 2026 filing-month group alone contributing 59,260 still-active cases.
  3. IOE processed 13,333 of 15,322 approved cases this week (87%) and carries an upward slope of +8.9 days per week, making it the dominant force behind the aggregate median.
  4. The spread between the fastest center (SRC at 58 days) and the slowest (EAC at 236 days) is 178 days, triggering the uneven-centers anomaly flag.
  5. Cases with an RFE (Request for Evidence) response cleared in 32 days, nearly one-third the 95-day median for plain cases, a pattern consistent with a batch of older responses closing together rather than a systemic speed advantage.
01 / Top line

140 days: the 12-week ceiling, cracked

140days
The final-stage wait for I-765 approvals reached 140 days this week, the highest reading in the current 12-week window.Up 12 days (+9.1%) from last week's 128-day reading.

The week of June 22 produced a median final-stage wait of 140 days for I-765 Employment Authorization Document cases, up 12 days from 128 days the prior week and 53 days above the 12-week trailing average of 87 days. Just two weeks earlier, in the week of June 8 (W24), the median sat at 45 days, the lowest point in the visible window. That 95-day climb from W24 to W26 is the largest two-week swing in this 12-week period, and the direction of the last two weeks (128, then 140) points forward to the backlog data for context.

Figure 1
The 12-week median shows a dip to 45 days in the week of June 8 followed by a rapid rise to 140 days in the week of June 22, reversing the gains accumulated through late May.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
250250200200150150100100505000DaysApr 6Apr 6Apr 13Apr 13Apr 20Apr 20Apr 27Apr 27May 4May 4May 11May 11May 18May 18May 25May 25Jun 1Jun 1Jun 8Jun 8Jun 15Jun 15Jun 22Jun 22Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. W15–W26 2026. n = 8,410–15,322 per week.

The 8-week regression slope sits at +5.7 days per week, but the R² of 0.18 reflects a noisy fit: the trend line has direction but limited explanatory power week to week. The 140-day reading may carry some week-to-week variance on its own. What makes it less likely to be pure noise is that it extends a two-week sequence (128, 140) that aligns with the slope's direction, and the backlog data described in the next section offers a plausible structural reason for the rise.

02 / Supply side

A backlog that nearly doubled in two months

The active backlog of pending I-765 cases stood at 311,188 as of this snapshot, a gain of 150,873 cases (+94.1%) since May 7. A growing backlog means more cases competing for adjudication (USCIS's term for the case decision step: approval, denial, or a request for more information) time, which pushes the queue of cases nearing approval further out. The data does not tell us whether throughput slowed, intake accelerated, or both; the +94.1% figure captures the net change. What it shows is that the pipeline behind the approvals measured this week is considerably larger than it was 61 days ago.

Figure 2
Filing-month groups (cohorts) show how much of each month's intake remains unprocessed: April 2026 filers are only 20.6% approved at 13 weeks, and March 2026 filers are 28.2% approved at 18 weeks.
Cumulative pct_approved by age in weeks, by filing month cohort. Snapshot as of 2026-07-07.
100%100%80%80%60%60%40%40%20%20%0%0%% approvedw0w0w2w2w4w4w7w7w9w9w11w11w13w13Age in weeks
2026-04
2026-05
2026-06
2026-07
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Cohort snapshot 2026-07-07. n = 44,261–107,671 per filing month.

Looking at each filing-month group (cases filed in the same calendar month) in sequence: the April 2026 group had 106,938 cases at filing and is 20.6% approved at 13 weeks, with 81,298 cases still active. The March 2026 group reached 28.2% approved at 18 weeks, with 72,571 cases still active. The May 2026 group carries the most unprocessed volume: 75,417 cases filed, only 17.8% approved at 9 weeks, and 59,260 cases still active. All three groups are moving through adjudication at a measured pace relative to the volume filed, and the combined weight of their active cases is what the 311,188 backlog total reflects.

For subscribers

Preview

Unlock the full analysis for your case

See the complete outlook, a personalised lookup against this week's cohort, and your estimated approval window.

  • Full premium analysis: outlook, what it means for you, and implications.
  • Personalised case lookup against this week's cohort, with percentile and remaining days.
  • Estimated approval window mapped to your filing date.
See plans — from $5.99/mo

Cancel anytime. Plans from $5.99/month.

About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-765 only