Approval Trends Brief
Issue 45Published Nov 2, 2026
Green Card Replacement · Week 45
I-90 · Green card replacement

I-90 Green Card Renewal Wait Falls to 126 Days, Lowest in 12 Weeks

Cases approved the week of November 2 waited a median of 126 days from filing to approval, down from a summer peak of 188 days and modestly below the same week last year.

Waiting on your own I-90 case?Track it free

I-90 green card renewal cases approved the week of November 2 waited a median of 126 days from USCIS receipt to approval, down 7 days from the prior week (133 days) and 5 days below the same week last year (131 days). The figure marks the lowest reading in 12 consecutive weeks of decline, a slide that began when the median stood at 188 days in late August. At the same time, 75,838 cases remain pending as of November 9, up slightly from 75,655 four weeks earlier; every wait figure in this brief is measured on cases that were already approved, so none of them describes how long those pending cases have waited.

Key findings
  1. Cases approved the week of November 2 waited a median of 126 days from filing to approval, down 7 days from the prior week and down from a 12-week peak of 188 days in late August.
  2. 26% of approved cases (1,334 of 5,122 with a known filing date) cleared within 45 days of filing, while only 2% waited more than a year.
  3. The final-stage wait (time from the last status update to approval) fell to 82 days, down 27% from the same week last year (113 days), though the 8-week regression is noisy (R² = 0.24).
  4. An rfe_fast anomaly fired this week: cases with an RFE (Request for Evidence) response posted a median final-stage wait of 24 days, against 89 days for cases without an RFE, most likely a batch effect rather than a durable shift.
  5. The pending backlog of 75,838 cases rose only 183 cases (+0.2%) over 28 days, a near-flat reading consistent with the sustained approval pace of recent weeks.
01

Twelve weeks down, one more this week

126days
The median total wait from filing to approval for I-90 cases approved the week of November 2, the lowest reading in 12 consecutive weeks.Down 7 days from the prior week (133 days); down 5 days from the same week last year (131 days, n=1,238).

Cases approved the week of November 2 waited a median of 126 days from USCIS receipt to approval, the lowest reading in at least 12 weeks and 7 days below the prior week's reading of 133 days. The year-over-year comparison is also favorable: the same week in 2025 posted a median of 131 days across 1,238 approvals, so the current pace is modestly faster than a year ago. Meanwhile, 75,838 cases remain pending as of November 9, up slightly from 75,655 four weeks earlier; that pending count covers all filing cohorts and is a separate population from the approvals described here. None of the wait figures in this brief describes how long those pending cases have waited.

This week (Nov 2, 2026)
126days median
p25: 47 d / p75: 131 d / n = 5,122
Same week last year (2025)
131days median
n = 1,238

The spread around the median offers additional reassurance. The 25th percentile (p25) sat at 47 days, meaning a quarter of approved cases cleared within 47 days of filing. The 75th percentile (p75) was 131 days, so three quarters of approvals came in at or under that mark. In concrete terms, 1,334 cases (26% of those with a known filing date) were approved within 45 days of filing, and only 85 cases (2%) waited more than a year. Outcomes vary, and faster clearance is a real possibility for many applicants.

02

A summer of 180-day waits now receding

Figure 1
The 12-week total wait series shows a sustained decline from 188 days in late August to 126 days the week of November 2, with the prior-year overlay showing the current pace running modestly below last year's levels.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
2502502002001501501001005050DaysAug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Oct 26Oct 26Nov 2Nov 2Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W34 to 2026-W45. n = 3,857 to 6,837 per week.

The weekly total wait series traces a clear downward path. The median peaked near 188 days in late August, then fell roughly 7 to 10 days per week through October, landing at 126 days this week. The final-stage wait (time from the last status update to approval, a secondary metric distinct from the total wait) followed a similar arc, from 104 days in mid-August to 82 days now. That said, the 8-week regression on the final-stage series carries an R² of 0.24, making the direction suggestive rather than confirmed by a tight fit. USCIS volume and staffing data are not available to explain the decline mechanically; the data brief does not identify a cause.

03

Where the wait lives: the processing queue

Figure 2
The stage breakdown shows processing-status cases accounting for the largest share of tracked cases at the longest median wait, while biometrics and card-production stages move considerably faster.
Weighted-average weekly p25 / p50 / p75 of the final-stage wait, last 12 weeks. Spread reflects week-to-week stability, not raw case distribution.
Last status before approval
Cases
Distribution (days)
Median
processing
49,681
p25 87 · p75 114
103 d
biometrics
12,507
p25 19 · p75 21
20 d
received
556
p25 412 · p75 429
420 d
rfe_response
408
p25 4 · p75 28
13 d
rfe
302
p25 27 · p75 58
39 d
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W34 to 2026-W45. n = 302 to 49,681 per stage.

Looking at stage durations (30-day raw percentiles) from the case flow data, cases currently sitting at the 'USCIS Is Currently Processing the Case' status show a median of 179 days at that status, with the 25th percentile at 120 days and the 75th percentile at 221 days, across 325,074 cases. That stage accounts for 36.6% of all tracked I-90 cases. A long stretch at the processing stage is not stalling; it reflects the normal adjudicator queue. The status will typically jump directly from processing to 'Case Was Approved' without an intermediate update, which is standard for I-90 adjudication (the USCIS case decision step).

The biometrics (fingerprint and photo appointment) stage, 'Biometrics Appointment Was Scheduled,' shows a much shorter median of 23 days across 150,819 cases, so this step is not a meaningful bottleneck for most applicants. Similarly, 'Card Is Being Produced' (27.5% of tracked cases, across 244,445 cases) moves quickly at a median of 5 days. Once a case reaches approval, card production adds only a brief interval before the physical card is on its way.

For subscribers

Preview

Unlock the full analysis for your case

See the complete outlook, a personalised lookup against this week's cohort, and your estimated approval window.

  • Full premium analysis: outlook, what it means for you, and implications.
  • Personalised case lookup against this week's cohort, with percentile and remaining days.
  • Estimated approval window mapped to your filing date.
See plans from $5.99/mo

Cancel anytime. Plans from $5.99/month.

About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-90 only