I-751 Final-Stage Waits Hold Near 66 Days, 208 Days Below Last Year
Week 34 of 2026 shows a near-flat weekly reading with no anomaly flags, consolidating a substantial year-over-year improvement in conditional-residence removal processing.
The I-751 Petition to Remove Conditions on Residence posted a median final-stage wait of 66 days the week of August 17, 2026, one day above last week and 208 days shorter than the same week one year ago (274 days). The 8-week slope of +1.2 days per week carries an R² of 0.08, too weak to call a direction, and no anomaly flags fired. For applicants watching their timelines, the headline this week is consolidation: the large gains recorded over the past year appear to be holding, not reversing.
- This week's median of 66 days is 208 days shorter than the same week last year (274 days), a 76% year-over-year reduction.
- The 8-week regression slope of +1.2 d/wk carries an R² of 0.08, meaning the apparent upward drift is statistically indistinguishable from noise.
- Cases with an RFE (Request for Evidence) response cleared in a median of 46 days, 15 days faster than the 61-day median for cases without an RFE this week.
- The pending backlog across all filing-month groups grew by 7,293 active cases (+2.2%) over the 28-day window ending August 26, with intake running ahead of clearance pace.
- The 4-week forecast projects a range of ~46 to 92 days, reflecting the weak regression fit rather than a tight directional signal.
208 days shorter than a year ago
One year ago, a conditional permanent resident waiting on an I-751 approval faced a median final-stage wait of 274 days (based on 424 approved cases that week). This week that figure stands at 66 days, across 605 approved cases. The week-over-week move, up just 1 day from last week's 65-day reading, is effectively flat. The 12-week trailing average sits at 59 days, and weekly medians over that window have ranged from 43 to 77 days, placing this week's 66-day result in the upper half of the recent range but well within it.
A flat line, by the math
The 8-week regression behind the trend line carries a slope of +1.2 days per week and an R² of 0.08. In plain terms: the fit is too noisy to call a direction. An R² this low means the regression line explains almost none of the week-to-week variation, and the slope, while positive, is within the range of normal statistical scatter. Treating the +1.2 d/wk slope as a confirmed rising trend would overstate what the data supports.
Over the past 12 weeks, the median has moved between 43 days (the week of June 1) and 77 days (the week of June 15), a 34-day window that reflects routine week-to-week variation in which cases happen to be approved. This week's 66-day reading is near the upper portion of that band, but it has not broken through it. Applicants and attorneys should read this as consolidation around the 60-to-70-day range, not the start of a new directional move in either direction.
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