Approval Trends Brief
Issue 45Published Nov 2, 2026
Adjustment of Status · Week 45
I-485 · Adjustment of status

I-485 Total Wait Climbs to 220 Days, Up 38% from a Year Ago

Cases approved the week of Nov 2 waited a median of 220 days from filing — 61 days longer than the same week in 2025 — even as cases near the finish line are moving faster than last year. The pending backlog of adjustment-of-status applications now stands at nearly 1.19 million.

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The median total wait for I-485 approval reached 220 days the week of Nov 2, 2026 — up from 159 days the same week last year, a 38.4% year-over-year increase. Thirty percent of cases approved this week (2,051 out of 6,883 with a known filing date) had waited more than a year. At the same time, the pending backlog of adjustment-of-status applications grew to 1,187,805 as of Nov 9, up from 1,098,932 four weeks earlier. Every wait figure in this brief is measured on cases that were already approved; the pending cases may have waited longer still.

Key findings
  1. The median total wait (filing to approval) reached 220 days the week of Nov 2, up 61 days (+38.4%) from 159 days the same week in 2025.
  2. The pending backlog grew to 1,187,805 cases as of Nov 9, up 88,873 (+8.1%) in 28 days.
  3. The final-stage wait (last status update to approval) fell to 76 days, 21 days below the same week last year (97 days), a 22.4% year-over-year improvement.
  4. An RFE (Request for Evidence) anomaly flag fired this week: cases with an RFE response cleared in a median 26 days at final stage, compared to 77 days for cases without one.
  5. Cases whose last status is 'fingerprints taken' carry a median of 537 days in that stage across the last 30 days, the longest single-status wait in the pipeline.
01 / I-485 · Week of Nov 2, 2026

220 days from filing to approval, 61 days longer than a year ago

220days
The median total wait from filing to approval for I-485 cases approved the week of Nov 2, 2026 — 61 days longer than the same week a year earlier.Up from 159 days the same week in 2025 (+38.4% year over year).

Cases approved the week of Nov 2 waited a median of 220 days from the date USCIS received their I-485 to their first approval — up from 159 days the same week in 2025. Among the 6,883 approvals with a known filing date, 2,051 (30%) had waited more than a year. As of Nov 9, 1,187,805 adjustment-of-status applications remain pending across all filing months, up from 1,098,932 four weeks earlier. That count describes cases not yet decided; every wait figure in this brief is measured only on cases that were approved, so none of them reflects how long those pending cases have been waiting.

The 12-week trajectory of the total wait has ranged from 208 to 252 days since mid-August 2026, putting this week's 220-day reading in the lower portion of that band. It is not a peak for the recent period, but it sits well above the year-ago baseline of 159 days. The data does not tell us what is driving the year-over-year gap; the concurrent backlog growth is consistent with new intake outpacing approvals, but the data does not distinguish that mechanism from a change in the mix of cases reaching approval.

Figure 1
The 12-week final-stage wait trend, with the prior-year overlay, shows this week's 76-day reading against a last-year value of 97 days for the same week.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
1401401201201001008080606040402020DaysAug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Oct 26Oct 26Nov 2Nov 2Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Aug 17 – Nov 2, 2026. n = 6,818 (this week).
02 / Final-stage wait

Cases near the finish line are moving faster than last year

The 220-day total wait measures the full journey from USCIS receipt to approval. A separate metric, the time from the last status update to approval (the final-stage wait), covers only the last stretch of that journey. This week that figure was 76 days, compared with 97 days the same week last year — a 22-day, 22.4% improvement. The 12-week trailing average stands at 71 days, so this week is slightly above trend. The 8-week regression shows a slope of +0.8 days per week with an R² of 0.27, a pattern the data characterizes as noisy and essentially flat.

Nov 2, 2026 (this week)
76days median
p25 33 d / p75 119 d / n 6,818
Same week, 2025
97days median
p25 – / p75 – / n 7,971

A faster final-stage queue does not automatically shorten the total wait if more cases are entering the system than clearing it. The backlog growing by 88,873 in 28 days illustrates that dynamic: cases already near approval may be moving faster, but the pipeline behind them is lengthening. These two signals point in different directions, and both are real.

03 / RFE anomaly flag fired

An unusual week for RFE cases: they cleared faster, not slower

An RFE, or Request for Evidence, is USCIS's standard follow-up letter asking for additional documents. Receiving one does not by itself signal denial; most cases that receive an RFE are still approved. This week, something atypical appeared: cases with an RFE response cleared in a median 26 days at final stage, while cases without an RFE took 77 days — meaning the group that had been asked for more information resolved faster than the group that had not. The data's RFE anomaly flag (rfe_fast) fired, confirming this is outside the typical range. One-week inversions of this kind often appear to follow a batch of older RFE responses clearing together and may not persist into subsequent weeks.

Figure 2
RFE-stamped cases cleared faster than non-RFE cases this week, with a median of 26 days versus 77 days for plain-track cases.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by RFE-stamped vs non-RFE cohort, this week.
RFE response ·
26days median
Plain processing ·
77days median

2.94x RFE response cases clear faster than the plain processing cohort.

Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Week of Nov 2, 2026. n = 6,818.

The broader 30-day stage duration data provides context. Cases currently sitting at 'Response To USCIS Request For Evidence Was Received' show a median of 159 days in queue, with a 25th percentile (p25) of 82 days and a 75th percentile (p75) of 234 days across 186,642 cases. The 26-day final-stage figure for RFE-response cases approved this week likely reflects a faster-moving portion of that pool, not a system-wide acceleration. The data does not tell us why this slice cleared quickly.

One-week inversions like this week's RFE reading often appear to follow a batch of older responses clearing together, not a durable change in how the system handles RFE cases.
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-485 only