Approval Trends Brief
Issue 37Published Sep 7, 2026
Employment Petition · Week 37
I-140 · Employment-based petition

I-140 Final-Stage Waits Run 38 Days Shorter Than a Year Ago, Backlog Shrinking

This week's 22-day median for I-140 immigrant petitions sits 63% below the same week in 2025, while the active pending backlog declined 2.1% over the past 28 days. A mild upward drift in the 8-week trend bears watching but does not alter the broader picture.

Waiting on your own I-140 case?Track it free

I-140 immigrant petitions are clearing their final processing stage in a median of 22 days this week, compared with 60 days during the same week last year, a 38-day improvement that aligns with both the 3-year same-week average and the 12-week trailing median. The overall active pending backlog of cases shrank by roughly 3,600 cases (-2.1%) over the 28 days ending September 14, 2026, reinforcing a pattern of gradual clearance. An 8-week upward slope of +1.3 days per week adds a note of caution, but at the current pace, projected waits through early October remain well below year-ago levels.

Key findings
  1. This week's I-140 final-stage median of 22 days is 63% below the same week last year (60 days), the most durable improvement signal in the 12-week window.
  2. The 12-week trailing average has held near 22 days, showing that this week's result is not a one-week anomaly but a sustained level.
  3. The overall active I-140 backlog of pending cases fell by 3,634 cases (-2.1%) over the 28 days ending September 14, 2026, with the May 2026 filing-month group posting the largest single-cohort (a group of cases) drop (-1,254 active cases).
  4. RFE (Request for Evidence)-stamped cases cleared their final stage in a median of 21 days this week, nearly identical to the 22-day median for plain-processing cases, suggesting an RFE does not materially lengthen the final clearance step.
  5. An 8-week slope of +1.3 days per week (R² = 0.60) points to gradual lengthening; the four-week forecast band runs ~19 to 32 days, still far below the 60-day same-week reading from 2025.
01 / I-140 · Final-stage wait

38 days shorter than a year ago

22days
This week's final-stage median for I-140 immigrant petitions, down from 60 days during the same week in 2025.38-day improvement year over year; in line with the 12-week trailing average of 22 days.

The final-stage wait for I-140, Immigrant Petition for Alien Workers, the adjudication (USCIS's case decision step) step that carries a case from its last recorded status to approval, came in at 22 days this week, a 6-day improvement from last week's 28 days. More telling is the year-over-year picture: the same ISO week in 2025 showed a median of 60 days across 3,644 approvals, equal to the 3-year same-week average. This week's 22-day reading is 38 days below that benchmark.

The improvement is not a one-week artifact. The 12-week trailing average has also held near 22 days, and weekly medians over the past 12 weeks have ranged from 16 days (the weeks of July 27 and August 3) to 41 days (the week of June 22), with this week's reading near the center of that range. No anomaly flags fired this week, consistent with a system operating within its recent norms.

Figure 1
The 12-week median trend shows final-stage waits holding well below their year-ago levels, with the p25-to-p75 band narrowing since late June.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
150150100100505000DaysJun 22Jun 22Jun 29Jun 29Jul 6Jul 6Jul 13Jul 13Jul 20Jul 20Jul 27Jul 27Aug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W26 to 2026-W37. n = 2,289 (this week).
02 / I-140 · Cohort & backlog

The backlog is still clearing

Across all filing-month groups combined, the active I-140 backlog of pending cases shrank by 3,634 cases (-2.1%) over the 28 days ending September 14, 2026. The May 2026 filing-month group posted the largest single-cohort reduction, shedding 1,254 active cases during that window. These figures cover the full population of I-140 cases across all filing months, a much larger pool than the individual cohort rows discussed below.

Looking at the most recently filed groups, the filing-month cohort (cases filed in the same calendar month) data offers a view of how newer cases are progressing. Cases filed in June 2026, now 15 weeks old, have reached 44.7% cleared out of 15,185 total filings. Cases filed in May 2026, now 19 weeks old, stand at 52.6% cleared out of 16,683 total filings. The April 2026 group, at 23 weeks of age and 20,123 total filings, has reached 58.6% cleared. Each successive month shows a higher clearance rate as the group matures, consistent with a system steadily working through its queue.

Figure 2
Filing-month cohort progression shows each group's cumulative approval rate rising as cases age, with the May and June 2026 groups now approaching or past the 50% cleared threshold.
Cumulative pct_approved by age in weeks, by filing month cohort. Snapshot as of 2026-09-14.
100%100%80%80%60%60%40%40%20%20%0%0%% approvedw0w0w3w3w5w5w8w8w10w10w13w13w15w15Age in weeks
2026-06
2026-07
2026-08
2026-09
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Filed months 2026-04 to 2026-09. n = cohort totals per filed_month.
03 / I-140 · Stage detail

Where the time goes: a stage-by-stage look

The stage-duration data (drawn from the 30-day raw percentile window) shows where most I-140 cases spend their time before the final clearance step. The largest share of live cases, 60.1%, sit at the "USCIS Is Currently Processing the Case" status, which shows a median of 80 days, a 25th percentile (p25) of 44 days, and a 75th percentile (p75) of 150 days across 168,582 cases. A separate queue, cases where a Request for Evidence (RFE) was sent asking for additional documents, accounts for 17.0% of live cases (47,539 cases) and shows a median of 84 days at that stage, with a p25 of 66 days and a p75 of 93 days. Cases that have already submitted their RFE response sit at a median of 28 days at the response stage (p25: 15 days, p75: 52 days, across 32,790 cases).

Despite those longer mid-process durations, RFE-stamped cases arrive at the final clearance step in nearly the same time as cases that never received an RFE. This week, cases with an RFE response on file cleared their final stage in a median of 21 days; plain-processing cases cleared in 22 days. The one-day gap is not a meaningful difference. An RFE is not a denial signal, and this week's data is consistent with that: the final-stage wait is essentially the same regardless of whether a case passed through an RFE.

Figure 3
The stage breakdown shows that the bulk of I-140 processing time accumulates at the active-processing and RFE-pending stages, well before the final clearance step measured in the weekly median.
Weighted-average weekly p25 / p50 / p75 of the final-stage wait, last 12 weeks. Spread reflects week-to-week stability, not raw case distribution.
Last status before approval
Cases
Distribution (days)
Median
processing
27,549
p25 14 · p75 70
22 d
rfe_response
3,053
p25 7 · p75 49
15 d
rfe
578
p25 25 · p75 84
51 d
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W26 to 2026-W37. n = 27,549 (processing), 3,053 (rfe_response), 578 (rfe).
No RFE · Plain processing
22days median
Final-stage wait this week
RFE response · RFE-stamped
21days median
Final-stage wait this week
For I-140 cases this week, receiving an RFE did not add a single day to the final clearance step.
For subscribers

Preview

Unlock the full analysis for your case

See the complete outlook, a personalised lookup against this week's cohort, and your estimated approval window.

  • Full premium analysis: outlook, what it means for you, and implications.
  • Personalised case lookup against this week's cohort, with percentile and remaining days.
  • Estimated approval window mapped to your filing date.
See plans from $5.99/mo

Cancel anytime. Plans from $5.99/month.

About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-140 only