Approval Trends Brief
Issue 35Published Aug 24, 2026
Travel Document · Week 35
I-131 · Travel document

I-131 Travel Document Waits Hit 303 Days, Nearly Triple Last Year's Pace

The week of Aug 24 marks the highest weekly median in the 12-week window, with the 8-week trend adding roughly 12 days every week. The gap between the fastest and slowest processing channels has grown to 307 days.

I-131 travel document cases, which cover Advance Parole (travel authorization for applicants with a pending immigration case), Reentry Permits (for lawful permanent residents planning extended international absence), and Refugee Travel Documents, took a median of 303 days from last reported status to approval in the week of Aug 24, 2026. That is up 20 days from the prior week and 183 days above the same week in 2025, when the median stood at 120 days, a year-over-year increase of 153%. The sample this week is 2,007 approved cases, large enough to treat the reading as reliable. The aggregate mixes three document types that process at very different speeds, and the numbers below show where most of the weight falls.

Key findings
  1. The I-131 final-stage median reached 303 days the week of Aug 24, up 153% from 120 days in the same week of 2025.
  2. The 8-week slope of +12.3 days per week reflects a sustained upward trend since late June, though an R² of 0.37 means week-to-week readings remain noisy.
  3. A 307-day gap separates the slowest channel (LIN, the Nebraska Service Center, at 409 days across 1,198 cases) from the fastest (IOE, e-filed cases, at 102 days across 625 cases), triggering the uneven-centers anomaly flag.
  4. Cases that received and responded to an RFE (Request for Evidence, USCIS's standard letter asking for additional documents) cleared in a median of 33 days, compared with 232 days for non-RFE cases, a pattern the data flags as unusually fast.
  5. Filing-month cohorts filed as long as 26 weeks ago remain below 10% approved, with 470,749 cases active across all cohorts as of Aug 31, up 1,233 (+0.3%) over the prior 28 days.
01

303 days: a number that would have seemed impossible a year ago

303days
The I-131 final-stage median for the week of Aug 24, 2026, the highest reading in the 12-week window and up 20 days from last week.Same week in 2025: 120 days (n=82). Year-over-year change: +183 days (+153%).

I-131 travel document cases took a median of 303 days from last reported status to approval in the week of Aug 24, 2026, based on 2,007 approved cases. The same week a year earlier, with a sample of 82 cases, the median was 120 days. That 183-day gap represents a 153% year-over-year increase. The week-over-week move was itself notable: 303 days against 283 days the prior week, a 20-day rise in a single week. These figures combine Advance Parole, Reentry Permit, and Refugee Travel Document cases, which process at substantially different speeds, so the aggregate median reflects whichever type dominated approvals this week.

Over the last 12 weeks, the median has ranged from 153 days (weeks of Jun 29 and Jul 6) to this week's 303 days, with a 12-week trailing average of 222 days. The pattern is not uniform: through mid-June, medians sat in the 150-to-190-day range. Beginning with the week of Jul 13, when the reading rose to 285 days, the series has not retreated below 216 days. That step-change in late July, roughly 100 days above the early-June readings, appears to follow a shift in the composition or routing of approved cases rather than a single-week anomaly, though the data brief does not identify the precise mechanism.

Figure 1
The 12-week median trend shows a clear upward shift beginning in late July 2026, with this week's 303-day reading well above the same-week 2025 value of 120 days.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
4004003503503003002502502002001501501001005050DaysJun 8Jun 8Jun 15Jun 15Jun 22Jun 22Jun 29Jun 29Jul 6Jul 6Jul 13Jul 13Jul 20Jul 20Jul 27Jul 27Aug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W24 through 2026-W35. n = 885 to 2,219 per week.
02

The line keeps bending up, and the math says it is not done

The 8-week linear regression slope, a measure of how many days the median is adding (or shedding) each week on average, stands at +12.3 days per week. In plain terms: if you drew the straightest line through the last eight weekly readings, each step to the right would add about 12 days. Across eight weeks, that slope accumulates to roughly 98 additional days. The R² of the fit is 0.37, which means the linear model explains only about 37% of the week-to-week variation. The trend is upward, but individual weeks can land well above or below the regression line, which is why the forecast band is wide.

Week of Aug 31
~231 to 400 d
if the 8-week trend continues
Week of Sep 7
~244 to 412 d
wider band reflects noisy R² = 0.37 fit
Week of Sep 14
~256 to 424 d
if trend continues at +12.3 d/wk
A trend line adding 12 days every week, even with a wide forecast band, is the clearest signal in the data for applicants tracking their place in the queue.
03

Where the slowdown lives: a 307-day gap between processing channels

LIN · Nebraska
409days median
1,198 cases this week; slope +2.5 d/wk
IOE · E-filed
102days median
625 cases this week; slope -1.3 d/wk

LIN (the Nebraska Service Center) handled 1,198 cases this week, about 60% of all approvals, and posted a median of 409 days. IOE, which processes e-filed cases, handled 625 cases and posted 102 days. WAC (the California Service Center) sits at 173 days across 87 cases. SRC (Texas) shows 509 days but with only 54 cases; its 8-week slope of -5.1 days per week and an R² of 1.00 suggest improvement there, though the sample is too thin to draw firm conclusions. MSC (the National Benefits Center in Lee's Summit, MO) posts 280 days across 43 cases. The uneven-centers anomaly flag fired this week with a value of 282.22, reflecting the spread across channels. Because LIN accounts for the majority of approvals, its 409-day median pulls the overall 303-day aggregate substantially upward; the case mix differs across centers, so these figures are not directly comparable as a performance ranking.

Figure 2
Center-by-center medians this week show LIN at 409 days and IOE at 102 days, a 307-day spread that triggered the uneven-centers anomaly flag.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by processing channel, week of Aug 24.
112 d140 d272 d394 dIOEIOEWACWACMSCMSCLINLIN40040030030020020010010000Median days
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W35. n = 43 to 1,198 per center.

Cases routed through IOE are clearing in roughly one-quarter the time of paper-filed cases at LIN (102 days versus 409 days). Center routing is assigned by USCIS based on form type and filing method and is not something applicants can select after submission. Whether IOE's faster pace reflects a different document-type mix, lighter volume, or operational differences is not distinguishable in the current data.

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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-131 only