Approval Trends Brief
Issue 22Published May 25, 2026
Travel Document · Week 22
I-131 · Travel document

I-131 Approval Trends Brief: early read on a thin sample

This week's I-131 sample is preliminary (the latest week is well below the prior 12-week median). The deeper narrative could not be assembled this run; readers should treat the charts below as a tentative signal rather than a settled trend.

This issue presents the I-131 weekly approval data as an early read because the latest week's sample is thin. The narrative pipeline did not produce a confident interpretation, so we surface the data without commentary. The charts below carry the same numbers the writer would have summarised: 12-week median trend, stage durations, and RFE (Request for Evidence) outcomes. Treat them as preliminary until next week's data is in.

Key findings
  1. I-131 data published for the current ISO week as scheduled.
  2. Narrative pipeline degraded this run; the deeper analysis is unavailable for this issue.
  3. Underlying data is intact: the figures referenced below carry the week's actual numbers.
01 / I-131 · This week

Weekly snapshot

This section presents I-131's 12-week median trend and the underlying weekly counts. The narrative read on the trend is not available for this issue; refer to the chart for the raw numbers.

Figure 1
12-week median trend
Median days from last reported status to approval, weighted across service centers and last_status values.
350350300300250250200200150150100100DaysMar 2Mar 2Mar 9Mar 9Mar 16Mar 16Mar 23Mar 23Mar 30Mar 30Apr 6Apr 6Apr 13Apr 13Apr 20Apr 20Apr 27Apr 27May 4May 4May 11May 11May 18May 18Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Source: MyCasesHub. Final-stage wait, not full filing-to-approval.
02 / I-131 · Stage durations

Where time is spent

Stage durations measure the time cases spent at each last reported status before either advancing or being approved. The chart below presents the median, p25 (the 25th percentile), and p75 (the 75th percentile) days per stage.

Figure 2
Stage durations by last reported status
Days from a status appearing on a case to the next transition (advance or approval).
Last status before approval
Cases
Distribution (days)
Median
processing
7,328
p25 6 · p75 44
16 d
biometrics
6,034
p25 343 · p75 368
359 d
received
4,280
p25 192 · p75 256
229 d
transferred
252
p25 233 · p75 240
235 d
others
214
p25 2 · p75 3
3 d
denied
109
p25 29 · p75 36
32 d
Source: MyCasesHub case_flow_stats.
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-131 only