Approval Trends Brief
Issue 45Published Nov 2, 2026
Fiancé Petition · Week 45
I-129F

K-1 Fiancé Petition Wait Climbs to 368 Days, Up 63% from Last Year

The week of November 2, the median total wait from filing to approval reached 368 days, against 226 days in the same week of 2025. The pending backlog now stands at 100,149 cases, up 3,013 from four weeks ago.

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K-1 fiancé petitions approved the week of November 2 carried a median total wait of 368 days from filing to approval, up 142 days (63%) from the same week last year, when the median was 226 days across 693 approvals. More than half of this week's approvals (53%) waited longer than a year from filing. The active backlog of pending cases stands at 100,149 as of November 9, up from 97,136 four weeks earlier. Every wait figure in this brief is measured on cases that were already approved; none of it describes how long those 100,149 pending cases have waited so far.

Key findings
  1. The total wait median for I-129F approvals reached 368 days the week of November 2, up 142 days (63%) from 226 days in the same week last year (n=693).
  2. 53% of approvals this week waited more than a year from filing, and the 90th percentile sat at 546 days.
  3. The pending backlog grew to 100,149 cases as of November 9, up 3,013 (+3.1%) from 97,136 four weeks earlier.
  4. The final-stage wait (time from last status update to approval) has fallen sharply to 103 days this week from a 12-week peak of 290 days in late September, with WAC (California Service Center) posting 90 days against SRC's 251 days.
  5. An RFE (Request for Evidence) anomaly flag fired this week: cases with an RFE response cleared in a median of only 14 days, compared with 300 days for cases with no RFE, a ratio of roughly 22 to 1.
01 / I-129F · Total wait

368 days, and the backlog just crossed 100,000

368days
The median total wait from filing to approval for I-129F cases approved this week, up 142 days from 226 days in the same week last year.Previous week: 364 days. Same week last year: 226 days (n=693). YoY change: +63%.

Cases approved the week of November 2 waited a median of 368 days from the date USCIS received the petition to its first approval, against 226 days in the same week of 2025 across 693 approvals. That is a 142-day, 63% year-over-year increase. Fifty-three percent of this week's approvals waited more than a year from filing; the 25th percentile (p25) sat at 345 days and the 75th percentile (p75) at 402 days. The pending backlog stands at 100,149 cases as of November 9, up 3,013 from 97,136 four weeks earlier. All wait figures in this issue describe only cases that have already been approved; they say nothing about how long those 100,149 still-pending cases have waited.

Looking at the 12-week total-wait series, medians held between 296 and 320 days from mid-August through early October, then moved to 360 days the week of October 19 and continued to 368 days this week. The interquartile range (p25 to p75) is 57 days wide, suggesting the rise is broad-based rather than pulled by a small cluster of outliers. The 90th percentile at 546 days signals a long tail for the slowest-moving cases.

Figure 1
The 12-week total-wait trend shows medians rising from roughly 296 days in early October to 368 days the week of November 2, well above last year's same-week reading of 226 days.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
300300250250200200150150100100505000DaysAug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Oct 26Oct 26Nov 2Nov 2Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Aug 17–Nov 2, 2026. n = 285 (this week).
02 / I-129F · Final-stage wait

One bright spot: the queue is clearing faster at the last step

Separate from the total wait is the time from the last reported status update to approval (the final-stage wait), which has moved in the opposite direction. That metric stands at 103 days this week, down from a 12-week peak of 290 days in late September. This is not the total wait from filing: a case that moves quickly through the final stage may still have spent many months sitting at an earlier status. The 8-week slope for the final-stage wait is -25.2 days per week (R² of 0.63), a pattern the data marks as improving fast, though week-to-week variability in this series is wide.

WAC · California
90days median
p25: 99 / p75: 113 / n = 263
SRC · Texas
251days median
n = 22 (small sample)

WAC (the California Service Center) accounts for 263 of 285 approvals this week, or 92% of the sample; its final-stage median of 90 days largely drives the aggregate. SRC (the Texas Service Center), with 22 approvals, posts 251 days, a gap of 161 days. Neither center shows transfer-touched cases (0% transferred share at both), so the difference is not an artifact of different case-mix populations. The small SRC sample warrants caution: at 22 cases, week-to-week variance is high. SRC's 8-week slope is 0.0 days per week with R² of 0.00, meaning no discernible trend in either direction. Case mix differs between centers, so this comparison is structural rather than a verdict on relative performance.

Figure 2
WAC posts a final-stage median of 90 days this week against SRC's 251 days, with WAC's 8-week slope at -26.3 days per week and SRC showing no discernible trend.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
228 dWACWAC250250200200150150100100505000Median days
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Week of Nov 2, 2026. n = 285.
03 / I-129F · RFE anomaly

RFE cases cleared faster than non-RFE cases this week

An anomaly flag fired this week for unusually fast clearance of RFE (Request for Evidence) response cases. Cases that received and responded to an RFE posted a median of 14 days from last status update to approval, against 300 days for cases with no RFE at all. That is a ratio of roughly 22 to 1 in favor of RFE-stamped cases clearing faster. The normal pattern runs in the opposite direction: adjudicators must review the RFE response before deciding, which typically adds time. When RFE-response cases clear this quickly, it may reflect a batch of responses filed around the same time all clearing together. One week of data is not enough to interpret this as a structural change.

Figure 3
RFE-stamped cases cleared faster than non-RFE cases this week, with a median of 14 days against 300 days for plain-processing cases.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by RFE-stamped vs non-RFE cohort, this week.
RFE response ·
14days median
Plain processing ·
300days median

22.10x RFE response cases clear faster than the plain processing cohort.

Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Week of Nov 2, 2026. n = 285.
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-129F only