Approval Trends Brief
Issue 36Published Aug 31, 2026
Nonimmigrant Worker · Week 36
I-129 · Nonimmigrant worker

I-129 Final-Stage Wait Hits 12 Days, Down 30% From a Year Ago

Week 36 data shows the final-stage median holding at 12 days, near the low end of the 12-week range, with a strong regression trend pointing toward continued modest improvement through late September.

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The I-129 final-stage wait held at 12 days this week, unchanged from last week and 30% below the same week last year (17 days, across 4,890 cases). The 12-week trailing average sits at 15 days, meaning this week's reading is at the low end of the recent range. The 8-week regression slope of -1.0 day per week, supported by an R² of 0.87, reflects a consistent, not erratic, downward drift through the summer. No anomaly flags fired. For applicants tracking their case status, the queue is moving meaningfully faster than it was in August 2025.

Key findings
  1. The I-129 final-stage median held at 12 days in Week 36, down 30.1% from 17 days in the same week last year.
  2. The 8-week regression slope is -1.0 day per week at R²=0.87, one of the cleaner trend fits in recent months, pointing toward continued improvement.
  3. Cases that received an RFE (Request for Evidence) cleared in a median of 21 days versus 15 days for plain cases, a 6-day gap that is modest relative to overall queue speed.
  4. The June 2026 filing-month group is 63.0% approved at 14 weeks of age; the April 2026 group has reached 77.8% approved at 22 weeks.
  5. The active pending backlog across all filing cohorts shrank by 10,822 cases (13.6%) over the past 28 days, consistent with the improving final-stage medians.
01 / I-129 · Week 36, 2026

Twelve days, and holding

12days
The I-129 final-stage median held at 12 days this week, matching last week and sitting 30% below the same week last year.Same week last year: 17 days (n=4,890). 12-week trailing average: 15 days.

The I-129 final-stage wait came in at 12 days for the week of August 31, flat relative to the prior week and 30.1% below the 17-day reading from the same week in 2025. The 12-week trailing average is 15 days, so this week sits at the low end of what has been a gradual but steady summer improvement. For applicants checking their case status, the practical takeaway is that cases entering the final stage are clearing faster now than at nearly any point in the past year.

02 / 12-week trend

From 18 days to 12: how the summer played out

Figure 1
The 12-week trend shows the I-129 final-stage median falling from 18 days in late July to 12 days by late August, with the p25-to-p75 band narrowing as the pace stabilized.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
808060604040202000DaysJun 15Jun 15Jun 22Jun 22Jun 29Jun 29Jul 6Jul 6Jul 13Jul 13Jul 20Jul 20Jul 27Jul 27Aug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W25 to 2026-W36. n = 6,512 (this week).

Medians peaked near 18 days in the weeks of July 13 and July 20, then fell through August, reaching 12 days by mid-August and holding there through this week. The 8-week regression slope of -1.0 day per week, with an R² of 0.87, indicates this is a consistent downward move rather than a one-week fluctuation. The contrast with last August is notable: the same-week medians in 2025 ran from 44 days (week of August 3) to 69 days (week of August 24 and August 10), while this August has stayed in the 12-to-13-day range. The data does not tell us why the two summers differ so sharply, though the pattern appears to follow a broad improvement in case throughput.

Last August, the final-stage wait ran as high as 69 days. This August, it has not exceeded 13.
03 / Year-over-year context

A year makes a difference

Week 36, 2025
17days median
n = 4,890 approvals
Week 36, 2026
12days median
n = 6,512 approvals

Cases that received an RFE (Request for Evidence, USCIS's standard letter asking for missing or insufficient documents) cleared in a median of 21 days this week, compared with 15 days for cases that went through plain processing without an evidence request. The 6-day gap is modest relative to the overall speed of the queue. Receiving an RFE does not by itself indicate that a petition will be denied; most cases that receive one are still approved.

Figure 2
RFE-stamped cases clear slower than the non-RFE group this week, with a 21-day median versus 15 days for plain processing cases.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by RFE-stamped vs non-RFE cohort, this week.
RFE response ·
21days median
Plain processing ·
15days median

0.70x RFE response cases clear slower than the plain processing cohort.

Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W36. n = 6,512.
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-129 only