Approval Trends Brief
Issue 45Published Nov 2, 2026
Nonimmigrant Worker · Week 45
I-129 · Nonimmigrant worker

I-129 Total Wait Falls to 17 Days, Down 87% From a Year Ago

Cases approved in the week of November 2 posted a 17-day median from filing to approval, the lowest in the 12-week series and far below the 131-day pace of the same week in 2025. The trend is flat, the backlog (pending cases not yet decided) is declining, and no anomaly flags fired.

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I-129 petitions approved in the week of November 2 carried a median total wait of 17 days from USCIS receipt to approval, down from 131 days in the same week a year ago, a year-over-year drop of 87%. Of the 6,892 cases with known filing dates, 59% resolved within 45 days and just 2% waited longer than a year. As of November 9, 64,087 petitions remain pending (cases not yet adjudicated), down from 66,879 four weeks earlier. None of the wait figures in this brief describe those still-pending cases; every median here is drawn from cases that were already approved.

Key findings
  1. The total wait median for I-129 cases approved the week of November 2 was 17 days, down from 131 days in the same week of 2025, an 87% year-over-year decline.
  2. 59% of cases with known filing dates resolved within 45 days of USCIS receipt, while only 2% waited longer than a year.
  3. The final-stage wait (time from the last status update to approval) held at 8 days, flat from the prior week and well below the 121-day reading from the same week last year.
  4. Cases that received and responded to an RFE (Request for Evidence) waited a median of 24 days in the final stage, compared with 10 days for cases without an RFE.
  5. The pending backlog fell to 64,087 active cases (cases not yet adjudicated), a decline of 2,792 cases (4.2%) over the prior 28 days.
01

17 days: a year of acceleration compressed into one number

17days
Median total wait (filing to approval) for I-129 cases approved the week of November 2, 2026.Down from 131 days the same week last year; previous week was 19 days.

Cases approved in the week of November 2 waited a median of 17 days from USCIS receipt to approval, compared with 131 days in the same week of 2025. Of the 6,892 cases with a known filing date, 59% resolved within 45 days and 2% waited longer than a year. As of November 9, 64,087 petitions remain pending (not yet adjudicated), down from 66,879 four weeks earlier. None of the wait times in this brief describe those pending cases; every figure is drawn from cases that have already been approved.

Looking at the 12-week total-wait table, medians have ranged from 17 to 48 days since mid-August. A reading of 48 days arrived the week of October 5 and has since fully unwound, returning to the low-to-mid teens. The interquartile range (25th percentile, p25: 9 days; 75th percentile, p75: 142 days) is wide, which signals that while fast-track cases resolve in days, a tail of more complex petitions still runs into months. The data does not tell us why processing times are 87% lower year over year than in 2025; the pattern may reflect changes in petition mix, routing, or adjudication (USCIS's decision step) capacity, but a single metric cannot isolate the cause.

02

A flat line where acceleration used to live

Figure 1
The 12-week median final-stage wait has held between 8 and 12 days since mid-August, with last year's same-week readings running far above 100 days across the same period.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
150150100100505000DaysAug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Oct 26Oct 26Nov 2Nov 2Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W34 to 2026-W45. n = 5,170 to 7,107 per week.

The time from the last status update to approval (the final-stage wait, a secondary metric distinct from the total filing-to-approval wait) held at 8 days this week, unchanged from the prior week and well below the 121-day reading from the same week a year ago. The 8-week slope is -0.4 days per week with an R-squared of 0.59, consistent with a noisy but essentially flat trajectory. Weekly medians have hovered between 8 and 12 days for most of the past 12 weeks. The moderate R-squared means week-to-week readings carry real scatter, so the flat description is more reliable than any directional claim.

03

Two speeds inside the same form

Figure 2
RFE-stamped cases cleared slower than the non-RFE group this week, with the RFE-response median at 24 days against 10 days for plain processing.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by RFE-stamped vs non-RFE cohort, this week.
RFE response ·
24days median
Plain processing ·
10days median

0.43x RFE response cases clear slower than the plain processing cohort.

Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W45. n = 6,992.

Cases without an RFE (Request for Evidence, USCIS's standard follow-up letter asking for missing documents) posted a median final-stage wait of 10 days this week. Cases that received and responded to an RFE waited a median of 24 days. The 14-day gap between the two groups is not unusual for I-129; reviewing an RFE response adds adjudication (the USCIS case-decision step) time regardless of outcome, and most RFE-stamped cases are still approved. This is a process-pace difference, not a denial signal.

The Stage durations (30-day raw) table adds further context on cases still in process. Cases currently at the "USCIS Is Currently Processing the Case" status show a raw median of 88 days, with the 25th percentile at 40 days and the 75th percentile at 134 days, across 316,815 cases making up 63.8% of the active pipeline. Premium-flagged cases sit at medians of 10 to 11 days, in line with the 15-calendar-day guarantee for premium processing. These stage figures describe the in-progress population; they are a different dataset from this week's approvals.

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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-129 only