Approval Trends Brief
Issue 23Published Jun 1, 2026
Naturalization · Week 23
N-400 · Naturalization

N-400 Backlog Grows Nearly 50% in One Month While Weekly Median Looks Calm

The week of June 1, 2026 shows a 28-day final-stage median that sits below the 12-week average, yet the active pending backlog expanded by 48.7% over the prior 31 days. Recent filing-month groups remain largely untouched by approvals.

The N-400 naturalization application's final-stage wait (median days from last recorded status to approval) came in at 28 days for the week of June 1, up 3 days from the prior week's 25 and still below the 12-week trailing average of 31 days. That number looks routine. Beneath it, the active pending backlog grew from roughly 40,000 to 59,710 cases in 31 days, a 48.7% increase, driven in large part by the April 2026 filing-month group, which added 7,233 active cases. Cases filed since January 2026 are clearing at rates of 2.5% or below. The mild weekly metric and the growing structural queue are telling different stories about the same form.

Key findings
  1. The final-stage median for N-400 rose to 28 days this week, up 3 days from last week's 25 but still below the 12-week average of 31 days.
  2. The active pending backlog grew 48.7% (from roughly 40,000 to 59,710 cases) over 31 days, with the April 2026 filing-month group accounting for 7,233 of those additions.
  3. Only 2.5% of January 2026 filers have been approved at 22 weeks of age, and the February 2026 group stands at 2.2% approved at 18 weeks.
  4. Cases that had received an RFE (Request for Evidence) cleared in 27 days at the final stage this week, 5 days faster than plain-processing cases at 32 days, likely a pipeline-composition effect rather than a policy signal.
  5. The 4-week forecast carries a wide confidence band (~8 to 45 days the week of June 8) because the 8-week regression explains only about a quarter of weekly variance (R² = 0.26).
01 / N-400 · Week 23, 2026

A mild number with a warning underneath

The N-400 final-stage wait (median days from the case's last recorded status to approval) came in at 28 days for the week of June 1, 2026. That is 3 days above last week's 25 and still below the 12-week trailing average of 31 days. The surface reading is mild. The same data period, however, shows the active pending backlog (cases filed since January 2026 that have not yet been approved or exited) grew from roughly 40,000 to 59,710 cases in 31 days, a 48.7% increase. The weekly median reflects cases already deep in the pipeline; the cohort (a group of cases) data reflects the large, largely untouched volume that has entered the queue in recent months.

49% backlog growth
The active pending backlog grew 48.7% in 31 days, reaching 59,710 cases as of June 7, 2026.Up from roughly 40,000 cases on May 7, 2026.
Figure 1
The 12-week trend shows the final-stage median fell to a low of 13 days in the week of May 4 before rising steadily to 28 days by June 1.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
606050504040303020201010DaysMar 16Mar 16Mar 23Mar 23Mar 30Mar 30Apr 6Apr 6Apr 13Apr 13Apr 20Apr 20Apr 27Apr 27May 4May 4May 11May 11May 18May 18May 25May 25Jun 1Jun 1Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W12 to 2026-W23. n = 880 (this week).
02 / N-400 · Filing cohorts

Recent filers: barely a dent in the queue

The filing-month cohort (the group of cases filed in the same calendar month) data tells a quieter but more consequential story. Of the 12,522 cases in the January 2026 cohort, only 319 have been approved as of this week's snapshot, a clearance rate of 2.5% at 22 weeks of age. The February 2026 cohort stands at 2.2% approved at 18 weeks, across 13,536 total cases. The April 2026 cohort, now 12,402 cases strong, had the largest single-month growth in active cases: 7,233 additions over the 31-day window. These cohorts are still early in the adjudication (USCIS's case decision step: approval, denial, or a request for more information) queue, so low clearance rates are expected at this age. Even so, the volume accumulating at each age band suggests the pace of approvals will need to accelerate materially before clearance rates rise.

Figure 2
Filing-month cohort burndown curves show that cases filed since January 2026 remain well below 3% approved at their current ages, with the April 2026 group showing the largest volume of active cases.
Cumulative pct_approved by age in weeks, by filing month cohort. Snapshot as of 2026-06-07.
100%100%80%80%60%60%40%40%20%20%0%0%% approvedw0w0w2w2w5w5w7w7w9w9w12w12w14w14Age in weeks
2026-03
2026-04
2026-05
2026-06
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Cohort snapshot 2026-06-07. n = 59,710 active cases across filing months Jan–Jun 2026.

Monthly status count data reinforces the picture. Approved-status transitions during January through June 2026 are effectively near zero across all filing months, while processing-status transitions dominate each month's flow. Adjudication of recent cohorts has not yet begun in volume.

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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·N-400 only